Newcastle are actually better of this season than they were last season, at the same time, at least in terms of the goal difference we have.
After 27 games played this season Newcastle are on 28 points with a goal difference of -10.
Last year, after 27 games played we had 28 points and had just been hammered 5-1 at Manchester United, and had a goal difference of -22, and went onto get two more defeats in a row after that.
We lost in the following two games, at home to Blackburn 1-0, and then were soundly beaten 3-0 at Liverpool, so after 29 games we had just 28 points and a terrible goal difference of -26. Right now our goal difference is -10, and thankfully better than most at the bottom of the league.
The last thing we want is to get clobbered by either Manchester United, Arsenal or Chelsea in the upcoming games, so we can at least have a decent goal difference which could be worth an extra point to us.
The problem we have this year is we are just 2 points above the drop zone, whereas last year, with the very same number of points, we were 6 points above the drop zone.
Last season Reading were relegated in 3rd bottom place, with 36 points and that’s the same total as Fulham ended up with. But Fulham, as we know, amazingly won 4 of their last 5 league games in what has to do down as a near miracle by Fulham manager Roy Hodgson.
It looks like something around 40 points or more will be needed to stay up this year.
In our final 11 games last year we managed 15 points to end up with a total of 43 points, in 12th place, but we still managed to lose our final two games, 2-0 at home to Chelsea, which was a huge disappointment, and 3-1 at Everton on the final day of the season.
The 43 points we got last year was out worst ever in the Premier league and it equaled the previous season, when we were in 13th place with those 43 points, but had a better goal difference of -9.
Our last two seasons have been the worst we’ve ever had in the Premier league, although it looks like this season could be our worst points total ever, if we cannot reach 43 points.
The good news is we still have 11 games left and 33 points still to play for this season, so if we can just put a little run together before the end of the season, we could still be safe come mid-May.
Here’s hoping …… here’s praying. 😀