We’re looking for any good news we can find today, and Liverpool have just put on another solid display to beat West Brom 2-0, at the Hawthorns.
Steven Gerrard – scored first Liverpool goal
This means that WBA, the only team Newcastle have achieved the double over this season, will definitely go down.
The final two places are between Middlesbrough, Hull, Newcastle – and Sunderland.
A number of our readers, apart from complaining about the adverts on the site, have pointed out that our “friends” down at Sunderland, could still be relegated.
In short the way they could go down is that both Hull and Newcastle win next Sunday – and Sunderland lose their last two games, or even just get a single point from their last two games. That’s very unlikely – but possible nevertheless.
Sunderland are on 36 points, two points more than Newcastle, and they have to play Portsmouth away tomorrow night, and their last game next Sunday is against Chelsea at The Stadium of Light. We need them to lose tomorrow although even a draw would still make the Sunderland relegation scenario possible.
For Newcastle to catch Sunderland of course, we would need to beat Aston Villa, and that doesn’t look too likely, especially after the lads failed so badly with the big big chance yesterday at home, in front of a packed St. James’ Park. Certainly the fans have done their bit this season – it’s a pity our players haven’t.
The rather interesting case comes if Sunderland get a point from their last two games and Newcastle beast Villa. Then we’ll be level on points on 37.
The goal differences would be almost identical, but Sunderland have a goal difference of -17, so a defeat would take it to at least -18. Newcastle’s goal difference is now -18, but a win would make it at least -17 and wed be ahead of Sunderland on goal difference = what a squeaker that would be.
If the goal difference ends up identical with Sunderland – we’ve scored 40 goals to Sunderland’s 31 goals – so we would still edge them out. If Sunderland can get no better than one point in their final 2 games, and as long as we beat Villa, we stay up.
That corrects what we were saying earlier today, that if we beat Villa but Hull also manage to beat Manchester United, we’ll still stay go down.
The best chance we have is for Manchester United to beat Hull City and we can somehow get a draw at Villa – somehow – anyhow!.
However our failure to get at least one point yesterday has put us in a serious position. If we had a draw yesterday we could have just relied on Hull City to get walloped by the Red Devils and we’d stay up even if we lost by as many as 6 goals at Villa next Sunday.
But now we must at least draw with Villa, otherwise we’re down.