Newcastle Shouldn’t Push Their Luck – Remember Murphy


One of the things that started Newcastle dramatic decline over the last 12 months that has seen us become a second division club, is the failure of Dennis Wise and others, to bring in sufficient players in the last few days of the transfer – especially the last day – which was Monday, 1st September last year.

irishman
Murphy – wasn’t he born in Newcastle in 1658?


That left to Kevin Keegan leaving, and the start of a dramatic decline at the famous Tyneside club.

Does this all sound too familiar this time around?

Isn’t this just exactly what seems to be happening this year, with a little over 2 days to go in the transfer market left?

We have lost a net of 9 players and have brought in only Danny Simpson on loan.

But we should remember Murphy’s law which basically states the following:

If anything can go wrong, it will

For those readers who are getting on a bit – we know this law is almost a natural one and the youngsters reading this as they get older will experience the distresses of Murphy’s law more than a few times.

It’s also referred to as sods’s law and we noticed Alan Shearer calls  it that.

How many times when you are working on the car, as just one example, does the spanner or whatever, drop under the car and end up in that unique position just so you just cannot reach the thing. 😀

And of course our point with Newcastle is we expect to make 3,4,5 deals on the last day – there’s only one thing we will be sure of  – 3.4.5 deals could all go wrong, and most at the very last minute.

Just to lighten things up a little there are many variations and extensions to Murphy’s law which are really funny – here’s some of them:

If anything can go wrong, it will (basic definition)
Corollary: It can
Corollary: It should
Corollary: At the most inopportune time
Extension: it will be all your fault, and everyone will know it.

If there is a possibility of several things going wrong, the one that will cause the most damage will be the one to actually go wrong – first

If anything just cannot go wrong, it will anyway

If you perceive there are four possible ways in which something can go wrong, and circumvent these, then a fifth way, unprepared for and unexpected, will promptly develop

Left to themselves, things tend to go from bad to worse
Note: For those of you who have studied some Physics you know this is actually scientifically true – and known as entropy (S).

If everything seems to be going well, you have obviously overlooked something

You will always find something in the last place you look for it

The chance of the buttered side of the bread falling face down is directly proportional to the cost of the carpet.

In nature, nothing is ever right. Therefore, if everything is going right … something is wrong.

Mother nature is a bitch

Smile . . . tomorrow will be a lot worse.

And the actual case I always remember is when we were designing one of IBM’s mid-range systems back in the mid 1970s, there was a path on the flow chart that we convinced ourselves just could never happen – so we didn’t put any design or code in for that case.

When the system started to be tested – you can imagine what the first error found was. But how can that be?

True story.

Bottom line – let’s get those players in  as soon as we can, but if nothing has changed by the time we play Leicester City tomorrow night, we will be very worried indeed.

Comments welcome.



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33 comments so far

  • Bigbadbob

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:19 PM

    Comment #1

    Success or failure, the choice is yours Ashley, for gods sake listen to the right people for a change and take good advice.
    If he doesnt then he he must not want the team to go forward but stand still and be a cash cow and training facility/nursery for other clubs.

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  • MacToon

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:24 PM

    Comment #2

    Sods law…. our current owner will be replaced by his evil twin!

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  • Bill F

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:24 PM

    Comment #3

    Absolutely spot -on Ed, the only contradiction I would make is that most of what has gone wrong with us, is that it was predictable and foreseen by the majority of Toon supporters.

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  • komfort

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:25 PM

    Comment #4

    IBM..cue worky…

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  • tdt

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:26 PM

    Comment #5

    Team sheet for tomorrow anyone?

    —————Harper————–

    Simpson–S.Taylor–Collo–Enrique

    —————Smith (c)—————

    ———Nolan——–Barton——–

    guthrie———————-R.Taylor

    —————-Ranger—————–

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  • Ed Harrison

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:29 PM

    Comment #6

    tdt – hey we should win – you have 12 players starting 😀

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  • Bill F

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:33 PM

    Comment #7

    BigBad bob, the scenario you envisage wouldn’t make sense as good youngsters wouldn’t want to start their careers in a conference team. A real possibility if he acted as you are portraying. I doubt if even he is that stupid and vindictive.

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  • Bill F

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:34 PM

    Comment #8

    Count again Ed. 😉

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  • Ed Harrison

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:35 PM

    Comment #9

    oops – I’m obviously in for a very bad day 😀

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  • Fostino

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:36 PM

    Comment #10

    ed – should have gone to specsavers ed, ders 11, not 12

    harper

    simpson s taylor colo enrique

    r.taylor smith guthrie barton

    nolan
    ranger

    what a big game for ranger

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  • Fostino

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:40 PM

    Comment #11

    out of the c.m., who would ya let go: smith, butt, guthrie, barton, nolan, geremi

    its geremi and butt for me, overpaid to say the least

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  • tdt

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:45 PM

    Comment #12

    🙂 oh Ed what r u like!

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  • Rodzilla

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:46 PM

    Comment #13

    Bill F @ 3

    …bang on mate. That’s what makes it all so frustrating. I’m expecting exactly the same to happen again.

    …beggars belief.

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  • AngerOfTheNorth

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:46 PM

    Comment #14

    Geremi and then Butt. o question. Both are/were decent players but neither have the legs anymore. Sad but true.

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  • Bigbadbob

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:50 PM

    Comment #15

    Bill F – If Ashley wanted the team to be successful, why did he cut the cash flow with the inevitable consequence of relegation?
    It seems to me that he might be happy with a middle of the road championship team with low running costs, how can we think otherwise when he has stated he wont put anymore cash into the club.
    Sorry Bill, this whole situation fills me with dread and if he stays in charge it could become a lot worse.
    I dont think he is stupid, far from it, but vindictive, probably.

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  • Rodzilla

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:51 PM

    Comment #16

    Completely off-topic here, but everytime I see the pitch at Fratton Park, it does my head in. Both goals are very obviously on raised ground. Just look at the white lines. you’d think they could’ve levelled it off by now. It’s been like that for years. Surely it gives goalkeepers a slight advantage.

    ….ah, ah divnt nah.
    …anyway. I’m off.

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  • magpies1

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:52 PM

    Comment #17

    has takeovernews been on with any updates?

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  • tdt

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:53 PM

    Comment #18

    Vital Football site are saying they expect shola 2 be fit 4 tomorrow – could do with it being true!

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  • Fostino

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:57 PM

    Comment #19

    angerofthenorth

    thats how we like to buy em, players that were good, we buy them, big reptuations, big wages that dont deliver the goods

    owen duff etc etc

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  • dave 1961

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:57 PM

    Comment #20

    is it true that shearer was missing on motd last night?

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  • AngerOfTheNorth

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:59 PM

    Comment #21

    True Fostino, although Butt was good for us for a while, very good in fact.

    As for TakeawayNews, he knows nothing. Don’t get sucked in.

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  • Bigbadbob

    Aug 30, 2009 at 1:59 PM

    Comment #22

    Dave, he wasnt on MOTD, everythings crossed hoping there is some good news tomorrow on that front.

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  • magpies1

    Aug 30, 2009 at 2:02 PM

    Comment #23

    yer I know I take it with a pinch of salt but it does raise the morale a little bit with some hop and positivity

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  • Fostino

    Aug 30, 2009 at 2:02 PM

    Comment #24

    ya butt was decent signing to be fair, only 2million (i think) and he did us and brimingham for that matter good service

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  • dave 1961

    Aug 30, 2009 at 2:19 PM

    Comment #25

    I’m a pessimist but no shearer mean somethings a foot, he will not take the job without assurances that< at the very least no interference with the day to day running, also i hope he sticks with Chris as coach loyalty from a good coach is so important if not (unusual). i am just trying to time thing right so i can dash for the season tickets before the stampede my youngest son will disown me if we miss out

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  • Alanmc09

    Aug 30, 2009 at 2:21 PM

    Comment #26

    Hahahahahaha ed thats class!

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  • Bill F

    Aug 30, 2009 at 2:21 PM

    Comment #27

    BigBadBob, I agree with most of what you say, but taking the path you envisage is a slippery slope and can easily go wrong. Still looking at the glass half full option we could be top of the league and be under new ownership come the middle of next week, is this the opposite of Murphys Law? 🙂

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  • Bigbadbob

    Aug 30, 2009 at 2:34 PM

    Comment #28

    Bill, i try to remain optimistic but this man has me on the bottom, i want us to move on but Ashley has put too many obstacles in our way, too often its one step forward and two back with him.

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  • Bill F

    Aug 30, 2009 at 2:39 PM

    Comment #29

    Bigbadbob, I totally empathise with you mate, its one of the reasons I am a bit intermittant on the blog lately, it is so depressing what has been happening. 🙁

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  • Nick D

    Aug 30, 2009 at 3:31 PM

    Comment #30

    Yeah fostino he got both clubs relegated !!!

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  • durhammag

    Aug 30, 2009 at 5:04 PM

    Comment #31

    Ed, the reason why you always find something in the last place you look for it is because once you have found it, you STOP looking!!

    UTM

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  • Ericles

    Aug 30, 2009 at 5:22 PM

    Comment #32

    It is sad but true what Bigbadbob is saying. I also think much of what Ashley does is malicious.

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  • bill

    Aug 30, 2009 at 6:59 PM

    Comment #33

    We all know what MAs intentions were from long ago. He wanted to bring in young players and sell them on at a profit when they had gained some experience.

    He wanted to make money out of football but it all went horribly wrong when KK would have none of it.

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