Newcastle United are on 83 points, a full 13 points ahead of 3rd placed Nottingham Forest, and automatic promotion will soon be a certainty at Newcastle.
Chris Hughton – Newcastle promotion so close now – but don’t tell this man
Nottingham Forest have 6 games left so the maximum number of points they can now get is 88.
So here are two independent things that will now get Newcastle promoted this season:
- Newcastle get 5 points from their last 7 games
- Nottingham Forest drop 5 points in their last 6 games
What will happen in reality is that there will be some kind of mix between Newcastle gaining points and Forest dropping points in the games ahead.
And one way Newcastle can get promotion is if they beat Peterborough on Saturday, and Forest lose on the road at Bristol City. That will guarantee Newcastle promotion, so it could come as early as Saturday.
Newcastle have averaged over 2 points a game this season so it looks like the lads could end up with something like 97 points at a guess, but they need only 88 points because that’s all Forest can get and Newcastle have an overwhelmingly superior goal difference of 46 vs 21. There’s no way in reality Forest can end the season with a better goal difference then Newcastle.
But of course we play Peterborough United on the road on Saturday, and that’s the first against the last placed side in the Championship, but Newcastle will take nothing for granted, and will again go all out for all 3 points.
But it’s not over yet, and we’re sure we’ll hear that from manager Chris Hughton tonight or tomorrow morning, because the aim now has to be to get 21 points from the remaining 7 games.
Because after all, we need to go up as Champions, and that’s one big reason why we think Newcastle are now promoted, and that it’s really only a matter of time before it becomes mathematically certain – and the sooner the better.