Swansea vs Newcastle – Match Preview


Newcastle have won their last three games,  and look to continue that mini-surge this afternoon, when they visit a very good looking Swansea side at the Liberty Stadium.


In order to get that 5th place in the league and automatic qualification for the Europa League next season,  Newcastle have to try to get as many wins as possible through the end of the season.

Draws are better than defeats but not by much much (one point) but it’s wins that could propel Newcastle to finish in the top five for the first time since 2004, when Bobby Robson was sacked, becasue 5th wasn’t good enough for then Chairman Freddy Shepherd.

Right!.

Newcastle have an impressive 15 wins this season in their 31 games so far, and six away from home, and we are hoping that will be 7 away wins by 6:30 pm tonight.

We’ve also lost six games away compared to only two at home – to Chelsea and West Brom – and we avenged West Brom couple of weeks ago with that 3-1 win, and have a chance to do the same at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday, 2nd May.

That could turn out to be a crucial match, and even decide whether we are in Europe next season.

But the only thing that matters right now is to somehow get 3 points today at the Liberty Stadium, and Swansea are a good side at home,  and will be cheered on by a sold-out crowd.

Danny Guthrie is out injured, and we have no idea why we haven’t seen Gabby Obertan in any of the squads recently – is he injured?

Update on Obertan – the local papers are reporting today that Gabby is out injured and he will not return until the end of April, perhaps when we are at Wigan on April 28th.

Gabby will not make the game today, and with Ryan Taylor fit again,  we think he could go in at left-back and Jonas could go back on the left wing, and a position he is more comfortable with.

Newcastle can still play the 4-3-3 formations as follows:

Krul
Simpson Perch Willaimsons Taylor (R)
Cabaye Tiote Gutierrez (c)
Ben Arfa Ciosse Demba Ba
Subs: Elliot Santon Tavernier Ferguson Abeid Gosling Ameobi (Sh) 

We expect 20 year-old defender James Tavernier to be on the bench, and he was recalled this week from his loan spell at MK Dons,  and Haris Vuckic is not available for this game, or the game at home to Bolton on Monday, with a knee problem.

And of course Newcastle captain Coloccini will not play today, but he could be back for the Bolton game, having seemingly recovered well from his hamstring strain.

Newcastle have not played in South Wales for over 50 years, and this will be our first visit there since the 3-2 loss to Cardiff City at Ninian Park in February of 1961, and that’s the season I remember all too well.

I was playing for the Newcastle U18s at the time in my first season at St. James’ Park,  and still at school and 16 years-old, and Newcastle were relegated from the then First Division under then manager Charlie Mitten (he was hopeless), although we had finished 8th the previous season.

Oh well – so much for a bad memory, although two 16 year-olds played in that same U18 side – Scottish schoolboys right half Bobby Moncur and Irish  schoolboys right-back David Craig, and a certain Alan Suddick (“Sooty”) was on the left wing.

Back to today’s game – and Swansea held us 0-0 at home on 17th December,  so it would be great if we could pick up 4 points against the Swans this season.

We will have to hope that Perch and Williamson will again be in fine form at the back,  and that Ben Arfa, Ba and Cisse can make quick breaks and score some goals. And we’ll also need to be patient because Swansea will have most of the possession as they play a game similar to that of Barcelona – but they’re not as good as the European Champions!

I’ve been asked to predict the scores in these previews – but I don’t want to do that – because it will put a curse on the lads – belive me.

But I’ll try a poll and see what we think we can do this afternoon,  against what is a very good Swansea side.

3 points this afternoon will put us up to a fantastic 56 points with 6 games still to play, and we’d be absolutely delighted with that.

And then we would have to crush Bolton on Monday afternoon at St. James Park. 😀

Howay The Lads!!

How Will Newcastle Fare Against Swansea Today?

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28 comments so far

  • davybtoon

    Apr 6, 2012 at 9:56 AM

    Comment #1

    I wud like to see abeid come in for guthrie n let jonas stay left back But I think that team will prob b ryt

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  • Magickit

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:04 AM

    Comment #2

    HAHA, why Pardew does not recall Alan Bloody Smith as well ????? XD

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  • Grafton83

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:05 AM

    Comment #3

    I heard Perch was doubtful for this game, has he been passed fit? He was excellent against Liverpool.

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  • jamesnufc86

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:08 AM

    Comment #4

    I listening to talk sport yesterday and some bloke said that Swansea haven’t been beaten this season home or away on ball percentage ??!! Please someone correct that ?? That must be bollocks they pitched tents when we played them at st James ‘

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  • davybtoon

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:12 AM

    Comment #5

    @4 that’s not true we battered them up n had about 60% possession

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  • davybtoon

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:13 AM

    Comment #6

    They can keep the ball all day long the point is they don’t really hurt u with it how often do they tear teams apart the answer is hardly ever

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  • davybtoon

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:16 AM

    Comment #7

    At sjp when there keeper had the ball pardew had our players man marking there whole defence n midfield forcing them to kick it long I’ll b expecting similar plan today

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  • GarageFlower

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:18 AM

    Comment #8

    Obertan out for a couple more weeks according to physioroom.com

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  • pardews waxwork lips

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:19 AM

    Comment #9

    Sitting on the backpage on my way down what a load of cack, mayaswell have a priest on saying mass haha

    3 2 to the toon the day demba on the scoresheet..

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  • jamesnufc86

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:19 AM

    Comment #10

    I swerved the car when the boy said it , it’s complete nonsense isn’t it ? They keep the ball well obviously but with warriors like Cabaye and tiote snapping at their feet hopefully we can damage them on the counter , this is balls , watching bloody Jeremy Kyle USA waiting for the match , but unfortunately I’m too hung over to change the channel , I hate him …as much as Dalglish

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  • Tramp

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:22 AM

    Comment #11

    Swansea are 11th in the league and we sit 14 points above them in joint 5/6th place.

    Yes they retain possesion well, but come on… They are no Newcastle United!

    They will have the slight advantage playing at home brings but we really do have buckets more quality. Our key to this game will be our attacking play, the front 3 will be sharp today and i can only see the win! 🙂
    Come on lads!!
    Toon Aaaaaarmy!

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  • jayphoto

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:25 AM

    Comment #12

    think we’ll do well today! we press the ball really well! Need some hardwork from hatem today though! Guti, cheik and cabaye run themselves into the ground regardless! Seen swansea enough to know theyre massively overrated! Rodgers has done a great job, but they are without a doubt the most negative team in the premier league! they may have godknows how many passes a game and 70% possession but hardly any of that is going forward! They play to draw 0-0 and anything else is a bonus! believe theyre the lowest scoring home team this year?

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  • Indian Magpie

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:26 AM

    Comment #13

    I think it will be the biggest win of the season for us either jointly or individually

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  • davybtoon

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:26 AM

    Comment #14

    Infact here’s the stats from the home game with Swansea

    Possession Nufc 62% swan 38%
    Shots on target Nufc 5 swan 0
    Shots off target Nufc 8 swan 3
    Corners Nufc 7 swan 1

    I’d say that’s domination

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  • davybtoon

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:30 AM

    Comment #15

    Jayphoto spot on there so overrated they hardly ever hurt u goin forward, they keep the ball coz when the other teams have it they get caused all sorts of problems at the back hba will destroy them today

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  • JC148

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:31 AM

    Comment #16

    ‘Newcastle have not played in South Wales for over 50 years’…definitely forgetting our season in the Championship! We drew 1-1 at Liberty and beat Cardiff 1-0 away.

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  • davybtoon

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:32 AM

    Comment #17

    That’s another reason why I’d play abeid today him n tiote can jus sit n break up the play n let cabaye stay in his more advanced role which he’s been playing

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  • jayphoto

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:37 AM

    Comment #19

    not sure who to hope for in midfield! Vuckic would have been my bet! Swansea will have too much of the ball to play gosling, he mistimes his tackes terribly! I’d like Abeid too but i actually think him and vuckic have been hampered by the fact we are in the race for 4th! If we were 10 points off 5th place i think pards would have played them both! Its possibly itl just be guittierez moving into midfield and taylor coming in at left back! or taylor coming in centrally

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  • Minato

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:40 AM

    Comment #20

    People seem to forget that while Swansea were poor back at our place, they irked out a result after only picking up a handful of points away previously. They are much tougher at home and I expect this to be more challenging than out previous three.

    Having said the I still expect us to win this. Don’t think Pards will gamble. Will expect to see Raylor at left back and guti pushed up to replace Guthrie. I’m going 3-2 to the toon!!

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  • Hatem's better than Messi

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:41 AM

    Comment #21

    My guess is that he’ll play Raylor at LB and put Jonas in midfield.
    Less likely he’ll put Gosling in and keep Jonas at LB, Abeid hasn’t made the bench lately so starting him is very unlikely.

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  • Dannyo

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:41 AM

    Comment #22

    @alip123

    NUFC_Stats
    Think @lee_ryder has his wires crossed – Danny Simpson is not ‘statistically’ the best right back as the EA Sports PPI doesn’t use OPTA…

    NUFC_Stats ? @NUFC_Stats
    …stats. It bases the index points on these 6 indices: Team winning performance, player performance, appearances, goals scored, assists….

    NUFC_Stats ? @NUFC_Stats
    …and clean sheets. Statistically (via Opta), Branislav Ivanovic is the best right back. #nufc

    NUFC_Stats ? @NUFC_Stats
    Was asked the question, needed clearing up – not to say Danny Simpson has not done a super job this season though! #nufc

    NUFC_Stats ? @NUFC_Stats
    Top PL RB’s: Tackles-KNaughton
    |Interceptions-ARangel
    |Clearances-JO’Shea
    |Blocked shots-LYoung|
    Dribbles stopped-ARangel|
    Offsides won-BIbanovic

    But yes, i think Simmo has been solid at RB, just doesn’t do well going forward so he gets a bit “dulled down”.

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  • Morning lads,

    Exited about today’s game, really exited. Looking forward to a fast paced attacking display by both sides with Newcastle just edging it. I agree with the above posters that it will be Taylor LB and Jonas in the middle, which is fine by me. Abied will get his chance but it is probably best to give him a shot next season.

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  • alip123

    Apr 6, 2012 at 10:50 AM

    Comment #24

    To be fair it does sound about right with goalline clearances. Simpson may not be spectacular but he’s a grafter, and I’d rather have a player with less ability but who works harder (Simpson) than someone with ability but who throws it away (Ranger).

    Hope he signs a new contract. Him, Perch and Guthrie

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  • jimmymagpie

    Apr 6, 2012 at 11:02 AM

    Comment #25

    Jayphoto – Vuckic is hampered by the fact that he is always bloody injured. Pardew couldn’t have played him today, because he’s injured AGAIN! He spends all his time recovering from injury, and trying to get match fit – another Kadar.

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  • Brutooon

    Apr 6, 2012 at 11:13 AM

    Comment #26

    Perch is out, Tavernier is in.

    Santon at left back.

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  • obatoyou

    Apr 6, 2012 at 12:13 PM

    Comment #27

    but Vuckic an Abeid rarely play, Guthrie, Gosling are first in line as subs

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  • Faddj

    Apr 6, 2012 at 2:58 PM

    Comment #28

    I know I posted this all of yesterday and I’m aware it might annoy people but I need some recognition so I’ll keep annoying everyone until everyone’s seen it! haa

    I’m a young photographer and sat pitch side at the game on Sunday on behalf of the ‘Wembley to Soweto’ project, please take the time to have a look at my photos from the day on my blog, thanks!

    http://faddj.blogspot.co.uk/2012/04/wembley-to-soweto-st-james-park.html

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