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Here’s A Reality Check On Newcastle’s Relegation Fight

9:12 am, Saturday, January 16th, 2016 by Dr. Ed Harrison · 31 Comments

Things are looking a lot more positive at Newcastle since our great comeback against Manchester United on Tuesday night in what was one of the best games seen in the Premier League this season.

And coupled with Jonjo Shelvey and Henri Saivet coming in it has lightened the mood considerably this week.

steve mcclaren at watford 1-0

Steve McClaren – has to get some wins on the board soon

But even this week we lost two points to the two sides that were below us in the league – as Aston Villa and Sunderland both won their games and Sunderland are now above Newcastle on goal difference and we second bottom.

So the game on Tuesday night didn’t help us too much, we dropped one place and we need some wins from now on if we are to escape relegation.

And with games spread out to about one a week for the rest of the season if we don’t win games soon Newcastle will be down there in the relegation zone for some time.

In SkyBet Newcastle are still third favorites to be relegated at 4/6 odds on, with only Aston Villa (1/20) and Sunderland (1/3) worse off than we are in the betting.

Here’s our current league position today before the tough game at home this afternoon.

Crystal Palace38-1242
19 Norwich38-2834
20Aston Villa38-4917

If we can wint he game today we could even move up to 16th place depending on the other results – and that;s 5th bottom bit another defeat and that would mean just two point in the last six league games and our slump after beating Liverpool and Tottenham in successive games will continue.

Our record this season is not good – in fact it’s still the worst ever in the Premier League after 21 games played.

Premier LeaguePlayedWonDrawnLostGFGAGDPoints

And here are the rest of the 17 fixtures left in which we probably have to get 23 points at least in order to survive.

Sat 16	15:00	H	West Ham 			
Sat 23	15:00	A	Watford				
Wed 03	19:45	A	Everton				
Sat 06	15:00	H	West Brom				
Sat 13	17:30	A	Chelsea				
Sun 28	12:00	H	Manchester City				
Wed 02	19:45	A	Stoke City				
Sat 05	15:00	H	Bournemouth				
Sat 12	15:00	A	Leicester City				
Sat 19	15:00	H	Sunderland				
Sat 02	15:00	A	Norwich City			
Sat 09	15:00	A	Southampton				
Sat 16	15:00	H	Swansea City				
Sat 23	15:00	A	Liverpool				
Sat 30	15:00	H	Crystal Palace			
Sat 07	15:00	A	Aston Villa
Sun 15	15:00	H	Tottenham

Things are starting to look up – yes – but this is a reality check and Newcastle need to start winning very soon to alleviate the concerns among fans that we could still become a Championship club in May.

And that would be a compete and utter disaster.

Remember since Alan Pardew left the club we have only seven wins in 40 Premier League games and that’s two games more than a season and only 31 points on the board with a shocking goal difference of -33 and 73 goals conceded.

Head CoachPlayedWonDrawnLostGFGAGDPoints


We hope that’s eight wins by this evening but another defeat would not be good.

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What do you think?

Comments welcome.

Tags: Newcastle News · Poll · Premier League

31 responses so far ↓

  • 1 G // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:21 AM

    Suspect this is a wind up, but just got a text off a mate who reckons the Tiote to China deal, is a swap deal with Demba Ba. Anybody know anything about this, or is it carp?

  • 2 banjax // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:21 AM

    McLaren, Carr and Charnley have to go for Newcastle to avoid relegation, new players or not !

  • 3 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:22 AM

    what gave you the right to deride not one but two bloggers who made no reference to you in a post it is you who needs to get a life

  • 4 jimmysmith // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:22 AM

    Our form over the last ten games is surely a more reliable guide. This is a top eight group of players now, without doubt if we get Townsend too. If we go down McC will have to squarely take the blame. The first ten games a legacy and hangover of last years debacle, ok, but this group of players should not go down over the course of a full season, and Ashley has splashed the cash.

  • 5 WWSBRD // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:24 AM

    Think it’s crap mate but I’d take that Ba (if he is still the player we sold) if not take the 8 mill and go straight to QPR

  • 6 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:25 AM

    especially as one blogger was not here to defend himself

    yes get a life and grow up

  • 7 CookyToon // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:25 AM

    I think Saviet will hit the ground running the same way Tiote did. The DM role is a lot easier to adjust to with less pressure than a winger or striker, who is expected to produce flashes of brilliance every game. Pretty much the unsung hero role.

  • 8 NoahJ // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:26 AM

    All of our games against the rival teams apart from Norwich (sunderland, swansea, west brom, bournmeouth) are all at home- playing away when you need 3 points desperately (like at villa park!) is a horrible feeling, so at least we’ll have the home crowd behind us

    in the maths, we always forget that our rivals also have to play each other, so multiple points will be dropped.

    the key is patience; it may take another four weeks, but we can claw out of this.

    But, we need a striker; there’s simply no negotiation

  • 9 toon kk // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:26 AM

    Let’s hope we hang on to Sissoko and get a top quality proven striker in or we will go down. There’s no doubt about it.

  • 10 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:27 AM

    McClaren you have been backed by mr Ashley with one or two players possibly more to follow and he replied along the lines …its is now the time for me and the team to start winning some games……….

    question being he has had all season
    and if Ashley is backing him to the hilt how long are you prepared to put up with that

  • 11 expatmag // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:29 AM


    I havent derided anyone that gas not deserved it. Truth hurts, does it???????

  • 12 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:30 AM

    no comment needed get off my back you bully

  • 13 Harley // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:32 AM

    Whenever we’ve sold a player in the past, the criticism has always been that we didn’t bring in a replacement in time.

    The club obviously decided to accept a huge offer for tiote and decided the time was right. But this time went out and got his replacement before he left. Yet still the criticism flows.

    They can’t win.

  • 14 expatmag // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:32 AM


    Ever heard of full stops and commas…….lol

  • 15 expatmag // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:34 AM


    Heat…….kitchen springs to mind. Bully? I am not. Realist?..I am

  • 16 G // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:34 AM

    Wwsbrd, yeah, I thought so too. I’m sure it would be all over Twitter if there was any truth to it. Ba is 30, and still has that iffy knee problem.

  • 17 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:35 AM

    there was no need to attack an innocent comment you moron when it was not directed at you enough said on the matter please refrain from any further snide comments directed towards me or any other blogger

    it has consequences

  • 18 toon kk // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:35 AM

    West haven’t enough cutting edge in front of goal to be a top eight side. We need a top striker. Our current goals scored rarely come from Mitro.

  • 19 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:36 AM

    keep going by all means …………..

  • 20 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:37 AM

    ill bhave my p.a. script my future comments then

  • 21 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:37 AM

    drogo more like

  • 22 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:39 AM

    you are such a pratt to boot enough said on this please stop last chance

  • 23 G // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:40 AM

    Wow JT, you really know how to kill a thread mate.

  • 24 stretchintoon // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:40 AM

    sounds a bit harsh but id get rid of de jong,he’s an injury prone liability & has done naff all since he’s been here,give him an eye patch & get rid asap.

  • 25 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:41 AM

    he started it the wally

  • 26 Big Archie // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:41 AM

    Maybe if we survive on goal difference you might change your mind about whether or not that one point helped us or not.

  • 27 John Tudor // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:42 AM

    bullied off the blog never to return

  • 28 G // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:43 AM

    Stretch, I think SDJ will come good for us ìf we can tape him together long enough to get a run of games. Always looks like a game changer when hes fit.

  • 29 WWSBRD // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:44 AM

    True mate but I’d still probably have him back like haha Perez/Mitro/Gini can do his running

  • 30 G // Jan 16, 2016 at 9:49 AM

    I think the knee problem got worse in Turkey for him, not sure he would get a game in the prem now, which is a shame as he was a class finisher.

  • 31 jimmysmith // Jan 16, 2016 at 1:21 PM

    Not a top eight group because of the lack of a genuine striker? That’s a fair comment on current and recent form, but really, we should get plenty of goals out of an attacking group including Mitro, Cisse, Widjnaldum, Perez, De Jong, Shelvey, Townsend, and Sissoko.

    I agree though we need a replacement for Cisse, who has been difficult to accommodate, and is hit and miss, and also De Jong and Rivierre have not shown near enough for us, although have done for others in the past.

    There’s room for improvement certainly, and I think we will get it, but that is still a pretty impressive array of attacking talent.

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