Shearer’s Surprising View On Newcastle’s Survival Chances

Alan Shearer didn’t think Newcastle were very good yesterday – certainly not in the first half – and he expresses doubts about whether we will survive this season in the Premier League.

In fact he thinks we will be relegated, even though Rafa Benitez is now managing the club.

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Alan Shearer – thinks Newcastle will go down

This is some of what Alan has written in his column in The Sun today:

“Rafa Benitez is a good manager — but he is not a magician.” “And Newcastle’s performance yesterday proved just how tough a job he has on his hands.”

“It is very difficult for a manager to go in and suddenly make players dramatically improve.” “Newcastle’s problems defensively and up front are not going to disappear overnight.”

“Sam Allardyce’s side handled the occasion much better than Newcastle in the first half and deserved their lead.” “Jermain Defoe had two early chances and Newcastle were lucky to get away with it.”

“I thought, ‘Don’t give him a third’, but they did and paid the penalty.”

“Benitez then made changes in the second half and Newcastle went for it.” “And I thought they were actually then the better team and deserved to get something out of the game.”

“Still, Newcastle really needed a win yesterday, but when you are 1-0 down with seven minutes to go, you will take a point.”

“So I’ve not seen anything yet that stops me worrying about the prospect of my old team being relegated.” “For an hour, they were really poor against Sunderland.”

“Overall, though, yesterday’s match was between two poor teams and a draw was a result that neither side really wanted,” “Like Newcastle, Sunderland still have to convince they have enough to get out of trouble.”

“And the real winners from the Tyne-Wear derby and the weekend as a whole were Norwich.” “They had a huge win over West Brom on Saturday and their next two home games are against Newcastle and Sunderland.”

“Even if they lose to Rafa’s men now, unless it is a thrashing they stay above them.” “So I still fear for both North East sides.”

There are now 8 games to play and we have only 25 points which is 4 points less than we had seven years ago when Alan came in on his white horse to manage Newcastle and try to save us from relegation.

This was the situation back then with 8 games to play.

13	Hull City	        29	3	4	8	16	30	5	5	4	19	21	-16	33
14	Sunderland	29	5	3	7	17	18	3	5	6	12	20	 -9	32
15	Portsmouth	29	6	2	7	20	23	2	6	6	12	23	-14	32
16	Stoke City	30	8	4	3	18	13	0	4	11	11	34	-18	32
17	Blackburn		30	3	6	6	16	22	4	4	7	17	27	-16	31
18	Newcastle	30	4	6	5	21	25	2	5	8	15	24	-13	29
19	Middlesbrough	30	4	7	4	13	16	2	2	11	8	26	-21	27
20	WBA	        30	5	3	7	20	28	1	3	11	6	27	-29	24

He couldn’t do it – but that was also his first and only time in management so it was always going to be difficult for him.

The bottom three sides then were relegated and we ended upon 34 points, one point behind Hull with a better goal difference, so a draw in the final game at Villa Park would have saved us – but we lost 1-0.

So Hull City in their final 9 games got just two draws and seven defeats – so we wonder how Crystal Palace will do in their final seven games this season?

And Rafa will have to get a lot more than the 5 points we got in those final 8 games in 2009 for us to survive this season.

If anybody can save us it’s Rafa Benitez and if he doesn’t then we will take the drop.

Then the question will be – what happens to Rafa – does he walk away and leave us back in the wilderness?

Hopefully it will not come to that – whatever Alan thinks.

Comments welcome.

18 comments so far

  • Novocastrian66

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:09 PM

    Comment #1

    We’re doomed. Yesterday’s result hasn’t decided our fate, I think the Bournemouth result did that. We need to beat Norwich, Villa, Swansea and Palace.cannot see us managing that.

  • SuperShearer

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:13 PM

    Comment #2

    Agree. Yesterday was, for me, the final nail in the coffin. Just can’t see us getting out of this mess. Players don’t look good enough.

  • Jib

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:14 PM

    Comment #3

    I can

  • davis_toons

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:16 PM

    Comment #4

    Its the next 3 games that counts.. not lose hope.

  • Novocastrian66

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:17 PM

    Comment #5

    Jib; I hope you’re right but I cannot see it. I hope we find a way of keeping Rafa should we be relegated.

  • midweek weekend

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:18 PM

    Comment #6


    I totally agree trouble is we need basically a 4-5 game winning streak to stay up something we’ve been unable to do all season, even under terrible pardew we managed a 6 game run each season which ultimately keeps us in the division, Norwich away isn’t just a important game it’s also extremely tough they’re at home and will be boosted, it’s a massive ask if we benitez keeps us up it’ll be a miracle on a scale worthy of giving the man a statue our side St James Park that’s how desperate the situation is, I just can’t see us surviving we had to beat Bournemouth and were relegated after that match

  • magscar

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:21 PM

    Comment #7

    The silver lining that I see is that the other teams around us are already at their best which is picking up some points whereas we are struggling.

    However we have 2 factors which potenially can lift us up still to a better level than those around us – Benitez spending more and more time with players and both learning more about the other. Also players are coming back from injury and others gettin fitter and growing in side (Townsend, De Jong Lascelles) . It may be too little too late but the potential for our improvement is clearly there ( but not so visible for others) and needs to be siezed upon.

    Win at Norwich could be a catalyst for a run which others have already had but we haven’t this year.

  • Rotonda heights

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:21 PM

    Comment #8


    I’ll never be an allardyce fan but i think his 3 buys: Khazry, Kone and Kirchoff have been absolutely inspired compared to the dross Carr keeps finding us.

  • Novocastrian66

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:22 PM

    Comment #9

    I lost hope weeks ago. I never thought we would be in this mess at the start of the season. McClaren has to take the rap for this. He refused to recognise the mess we were in and failed to motivate the players for games against the weaker teams in the division. Watford beating us three times is a joke. We couldn’t even beat Villa at home. The writing was on the wall and he continued to progress in denial. Or should that be regress?

  • Offkey

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:24 PM

    Comment #10

    Lol….I got tag teamed by jiblet and Ian spoon a few threads back.

  • jimmysmith

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:25 PM

    Comment #11

    The tragedy is of course that under Benitez and with money to spend, we would attract the high calibre of player we lack in 3 key positions, and so realistically hope to challenge even top 6, rather than go down, and stare starkly almost disbelieving at another 5 years rebuilding.

    But why would we all of a sudden produce the form we’ve failed to achieve since that solitary season out of 8 under Ashley,when we somehow finished 5th.

    It’s a long bow to put it mildly. Ashley, Carr, Charnley, hang your heads in shame.

  • Munster Mag

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:30 PM

    Comment #12

    Completely agree but it seems that saying negative things re Benitez is not allowed. We are not adventurous enough going forward. We were poor v Makems and that was our big chance and we blew it. We were essentially 6 mins from relegation. I dont believe in positivity for the sake of it. The glass half full or half empty ? Its all shite – just drink whats in the glass and get on with it. Sissoko on left midfield is all wrong. Janmaat is not getting forward enough. Wiji is too deep for a man of his creativity and scoring ability. We are better than under SMC but I’m far from thrilled. Right now its not important, but Sams football is about the same as ours, so all the long ball talk is shite. They bought well in January and looked a better team than us. More composed, better players. We needed 3 points there but lots of people here are satisfied. Good luck to them.

  • martoon

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:31 PM

    Comment #13

    I think there’s still hope – we only have to finish with more points than Norwich & the makems stay up. I also think Palace could be dragged into the scrap – their next 4 games are Norwich at home Chelsea, West Ham & Man U away – not easy!

  • JP...from The Rock

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:34 PM

    Comment #14

    No way in hell Rafa will stay with us if or more likely when we’re relegated.

    He is too good for us and he knows it. He will not risk his reputation for the sake of our club. He’s come here to see if he can become a hero in 10 games and win that 2M cash bonus which he will earn if he manages to save us. He knows we have bags of potential as a big club, but no way will he tempt his fate in the fizzy pop league.

  • John Akomfrah

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:38 PM

    Comment #15

    any ways martoon its win win for norwich and palarce

  • davis_toons

    Mar 21, 2016 at 12:58 PM

    Comment #16
  • toonluvva

    Mar 21, 2016 at 4:15 PM

    Comment #17

    Of course there is still hope of avoiding the drop.

    If the team adopt a “we’re down mentality now they will get relegated.” Keep playing until we are mathematically down. That might not happen until the last kick of the last match, just keeping going.

  • Moonraker15

    Mar 21, 2016 at 8:05 PM

    Comment #18

    Shearer was a shit manager as many great players have been in the past. Rafa is a class act and he will save us from relegation. If he should fail, I believe he will stay and bring us back up; I don’t believe he will walk away as he will want to succeed at Newcastle and everyone knows Ashley left it too late.


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