In the month of October Newcastle have won all six games scoring 17 goals and conceding only two in those games.
That’s a decent record.
And since the 1-1 draw at Villa Park when Villa equalized in the last minute of normal time, we have won the last six league games and are now top of the table.
A confident looking Rafa Benitez
We are effectively 4 points ahead of Brighton in second place and 7 points ahead of Huddersfield in 3rd place if you take our superior goal difference into account.
So it is tempting to get a little carried away and think we are going to be promoted this season.
The odds are no doubt good and that’s a huge understatement.
Sky Bet has us as 1/12 odds on to be promoted and to win the Championship outright they have us at 2/5 odds on.
And I even got well worked out calculations today from one of our readers – Stuart – who calculated in the 15 league matches we play between now and early February we will average a team in 16th position in the League,
In the 15 games we have played to date the current average position of those teams is about 11th.
My son Neil also keeps pointing out we haven’t played the weaker sides in the league yet like Blackburn, Cardiff, Blackburn, Nottingham Forest and Burton Albion, who are all somewhere in the bottom 7 places at the moment.
But we remember we played Rotherham United on October 1st, who still have only 7 points from 15 games – and they gave us some game at the New York Stadium.
It would be very easy to get carried away with our current success – we have won 14 of our last 16 games in all competitions since those first two consecutive league defeats.
But after the last two years of surprises – nearly all of them negative surprises coupled with complete incompetence in the running of the club – we prefer to follow Rafa’s advice and take each game and try to win it.
Cardiff City are 4th bottom at the moment and we play them at home and conventional wisdom would say we should win that game rather easily.
But isn’t that what we said about Wolves after we had demolished QPR 6-0?
Wolves remain the only team to beat us by two goals this season and at St. James’ Park too – and they are currently in 17th place in the league table.
Call us pessimists if you like, but we are in no way getting carried away with our current success.
The only thing that matters now is how we can beat Cardiff City on Saturday afternoon.
And then the only things that matters is how we can beat Leeds United on Sunday 20th November – our next game.
By the way that looks like a very tough game at Elland Road.
Maybe if we get 20 points ahead of the third placed team we will become more confident – maybe.
We had a compete and utter disaster last season and even though we seem to be on an upward spiral and Rafa has done a magnificent job so far – even Rafa says everything can change in one month – and we’ve seen that with Norwich and Huddersfield in the second half of October.
No, we have listened to Rafa far too much this season and believed every single word he has ever uttered.
The only thing that matters right now is how we can beat Cardiff City on Saturday and that’s final!
🙂 🙂 🙂