This Number Of Wins Guarantees Newcastle’s Promotion


Newcastle have just 10 games to play now and we are 9 points ahead of 3rd placed Huddersfield in an automatic promotion place.

Huddersfield have 11 games left and are on 68 points, so the most points they can get is 101 and they also have a much worse goal difference that’s unlikely to change too much before the end of the season – 40 versus 7.

So if Newcastle can make it to 101 points we will be safe and even if Huddersfield win all their 11 remaining games we will make an automatic promotion slot.

Newcastle have 77 points with 10 games to play so 24 points (8 wins) should do it – and that would give us the 101 points.

Rafa Benitez – Newcastle manager

Every point Huddersfield drop from now on makes it easier for Newcastle, as long as we  can keep the pressure on by winning games.

The other way of looking at this is that Huddersfield need to make up 10 points on Newcastle because of their inferior goal difference.

Let’s assume they win their game in hand – they will then be 6 points behind Newcastle ad need to make up 7 points on Newcastle i n the final 10 games.

So if Newcastle can only drop 6 points in their last 10 games we will get promoted.

That’s like winning 8 games out of the remaining 10.

So the more Newcastle can win the games coming up the quicker it could be for us to nail that promotion.

But we have only 2 more games before April 1st – the home game against Fulham on Saturday followed by a trip to Birmingham on the following Saturday and then there’s the two week international break.

The next game is then Wigan Athletic at home on April Fool’s Day.

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3 comments so far

  • JohnJ

    Mar 8, 2017 at 2:53 PM

    Comment #1

    It’s one game at a time so I’m for taking nothing for granted – However I’ll be over the moon once we get to the point where we can’t be caught – Haway the Lads!

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  • Grafton83

    Mar 8, 2017 at 3:24 PM

    Comment #2

    Far too soon to think we’re up despite our strong position. If we lose the next two the pressure will really be on.

    Rafa knows we just need to keep our feet on the ground and take it one game at a time. It’s not over until it’s a mathematical certainty so there’s no room for complacency the foot needs to be glued to the floor all the way to the end.

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  • custurd

    Mar 8, 2017 at 6:07 PM

    Comment #3

    Bit of trivia: Nufc have taken seven more points from away matches than home matches so far this season, having dropped 16 points at St. James’ Park to the likes of Wolves, Blackburn and Bristol City who are currently all in the bottom five.

    Six of our last ten games are at home; two of them are against teams in the top seven (Leeds and Fulham), two are mid table (Barnsley and Preston), and the other two are fighting relegation (Burton and Wigan). We also have Sheffield Wednesday, Birmingham, Ipswich and Cardiff away.

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